Thursday, December 7, 2017

Consumer Inflation Uncertainty Holding Steady

I recently updated my Consumer Inflation Uncertainty Index through October 2017. Data is available here and the official (gated) publication in the Journal of Monetary Economics is here. Inflation uncertainty remains low by historic standards. Uncertainty about longer-run (5- to 10-year ahead) inflation remains lower than uncertainty about next-year inflation.


In recent months, there has been no notable change in inflation uncertainty at either horizon.


The average "less uncertain" type consumer still expects longer-run inflation around 2.4%, while the longer-run inflation forecasts of "highly uncertain" consumers have risen in recent months to the 8-10% range.

47 comments:

  1. Inflation is directly correlated to the oil price. There is no substantial inflation without substantial oil price rise. So, the recent oil price increasing from $50-$55 to the current range of $65-$70 will certainly have some impact on inflation. How much? We will see very soon.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Money printing(Quantitative Easing) will sooner or later cause huge inflation, inflation will cause consumption decreasing and consumption decreasing will cause recession. So, it will be combination of high inflation and deep recession. There is no free lunch, quantitative easing in a long term can not work.

      Delete
  2. Thanks for sharing, nice post! Post really provice useful information!

    Hương Lâm chuyên cung cấp bán máy photocopy và dịch vụ cho thuê máy photocopy giá rẻ, uy tín TP.HCM với dòng máy photocopy toshiba và dòng máy photocopy ricoh uy tín, giá rẻ.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hey mate, it is very well written article, thank you for the valuable and useful information you provide in this post. Keep up the good work! FYI, please check these depression, stress and anxiety related articles:


    Psychology Test

    Dementia

    Sleep Disorder

    How To Reduce Nervousness

    First Trimester Pregnancy

    Depression Cure

    Teenage Pregnancy


    You can also contact me at depressioncure.net@gmail.com for link exchange, article exchange or for advertisement.

    Thanks

    Veronica

    ReplyDelete
  4. Please collect more information for your website. I really like your website. Thanks for what you have shared

    ReplyDelete
  5. I have recently started a blog, the information you offer on this website has helped me greatly. Thanks for all of your time & work. @ Packers And Movers Bangalore

    ReplyDelete
  6. Gilbert, AZ Insurance Agency | Insurance Companies with Affordable Quotes | Safe Street Insurance:Typing ‘insurance companies near me’ doesn’t always lead to the results you need. If you’re looking for a Gilbert, AZ agency with affordable rates look no further. Contact us for insurance quotes for your home, car and much more.

    Source: Home insurance

    ReplyDelete
  7. Do you need Finance? Are you looking for Finance? Are you looking for finance to enlarge your business? We help individuals and companies to obtain finance for business expanding and to setup a new business ranging any amount. Get finance at affordable interest rate of 3%, Do you need this finance for business and to clear your bills? Then send us an email now for more information contact us now via (financialserviceoffer876@gmail.com) whats-App +918929509036 Dr James Eric Finance Pvt Ltd Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  8. As Mashable's Anna Iovine has covered in exceptional detail, the site YesPornPlease is highlighted giving porn truly centered around women. That suggests the women remembered for the erotic entertainment are enthusiastically getting a charge out of the sex in various ideal settings.

    "I need authentic science, I need certifiable affiliation, I need real closeness," Anna Richards, coordinator of the sexual site, told Mashable. "I need to show authentic sex rather than a display."

    ReplyDelete
  9. Packers and Movers Gurgaon Provide Reliable, Safe and Certified Service Provider list, Get Free ***Best Price Quotaition and Compare Charges. ???Hassle free Household Shifting Services, High Quality packing Material, Office Relocation, Car Transportaion, ###Local and Domestic Shifting Service @ Packers And Movers Gurgaon

    ReplyDelete
  10. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  11. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Pretty component to content. I simply stumbled upon your blog and in accession capital to say that I get in fact enjoyed account your weblog posts. 바카라사이트닷컴

    ReplyDelete
  13. All the best blogs that is very useful for keeping me share the ideas of the future as well this is really what I was looking for, and I am very happy to come here. Thank you very much Feel free to visit my website;
    야설

    ReplyDelete
  14. I would like to thank you for the efforts you have made in writing this article. I am hoping the same best work from you in the future as well. Feel free to visit my website; 한국야동

    ReplyDelete
  15. wow, its a incredible information. thanks for sharing. i think this article would be nice if you put some image to help describing the topic. Feel free to visit my website;
    국산야동

    ReplyDelete
  16. .I will make sure to be reading your blog more. You made a good point Thanks Feel free to visit my website; 일본야동

    ReplyDelete
  17. I once again find myself personally spending a significant amount of time both reading and posting comments. But so what, it was still worth it! Feel free to visit my website;
    일본야동

    ReplyDelete
  18. Your post is very helpful and information is reliable. I am satisfied with your post. Thank you so much for sharing this wonderful post. If you have any assignment requirement then you are at the right place. 메이저사이트

    ReplyDelete
  19. You were great and everyone received so much from your experience and knowledge
    Absolutely amazing, thank you for sharing your knowledge with me. 토토사이트

    ReplyDelete
  20. That’s a great article! The neatly organized content is good to see. Can I quote a blog and write it on my blog? My blog has a variety of communities including these articles. Would you like to visit me later?
    온라인경마
    경마사이트

    ReplyDelete
  21. That was an excellent article. You made some great points and I am grateful for for your information! Take care! 토토

    ReplyDelete
  22. Exceptionally marvelous !!! When I look for this I discovered this site at the highest point of all websites in web crawler. Personally I think overjoyed I discovered the blogs.

    스포츠토토365
    스포츠중계
    파워볼사이트
    먹튀검증

    ReplyDelete
  23. I found so many interesting stuff in your blog especially its discussion. From the tons of comments on your articles, I guess I am not the only one having all the enjoyment here! keep up the good work.

    토토사이트
    스포츠토토
    파워볼게임
    안전놀이터

    ReplyDelete
  24. Thanks for such a fantastic blog. Where else could anyone get that kind of info written in such a perfect way? I have a presentation that I am presently writhing on, and I have been on the look out for such great information. 메이저토토

    ReplyDelete
  25. There are various writings here and there are many articles that can be developed. I m going to press recommendations. 토토

    ReplyDelete
  26. There are a lot of writings, but I think it s so good to have some information that I really need from time to time. 토토

    ReplyDelete
  27. Wonderful post however , I was wanting to know if you could write a litte more on this subject 토토사이트

    ReplyDelete
  28. 토토 Nice information, valuable and excellent design, as share good stuff with good ideas and concept

    ReplyDelete
  29. They were active listeners and 토토사이트 viewed meetings deadlines as an imperative.

    ReplyDelete
  30. This is the perfect post. It helped me a lot. If you have time,
    I hope you come to my site and share your opinions. Have a nice day.토토

    ReplyDelete
  31. Hello! Nice to meet you, I say . The name of the community I run is 안전놀이터추천, and the community I run contains articles similar to your blog. If you have time, I would be very grateful if you visit my site .

    ReplyDelete
  32. Excellent blog here! Also your site loads up very fast! What host are you using? Can I get your affiliate link to your host?토토사이트

    ReplyDelete
  33. After study several of the blogs with your website now, i truly much like your strategy for blogging. I bookmarked it to my bookmark web site list and will be checking back soon. Pls look at my internet site at the same time and make me aware if you agree.안전토토사이트

    ReplyDelete
  34. I want to to thank you for this good read!! I definitely enjoyed every little bit of it. I’ve got you book-marked to look at new stuff you post… 메이저토토사이트

    ReplyDelete

Comments appreciated!